Up to 14 Storms Forecast for Philippines as La Niña Weakens This Summer
The state weather bureau has issued a forecast predicting that six to fourteen storms will enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility from March through August. This announcement comes alongside expectations that the La Niña phenomenon will weaken as the summer season approaches.
Current La Niña Conditions and Transition to Neutral
According to officials, the effects of La Niña are still being felt across the tropical Pacific, but the country is gradually moving toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Dr. Joseph Basconcillo, chief of the Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section at the state weather bureau, explained during the 193rd Climate Forum that La Niña persists in the region. ENSO-neutral refers to a situation where neither La Niña nor El Niño is active, indicating a return to more typical weather patterns.
Weather Patterns and Temperature Projections
Before rainfall normalizes due to the southwest monsoon or habagat in June, a large portion of Luzon is expected to experience more dry days. Additionally, temperatures across the nation are projected to rise significantly. The agency has warned that heat in Metro Manila could peak at around 37.5°C in April, while Northern Luzon might see temperatures soar as high as 39.9°C.
Public Advisory and Preparedness
The weather agency has urged the public to remain vigilant and stay updated with their advisories as weather conditions continue to evolve. With the potential for both intense storms and extreme heat, preparedness is crucial for safety and resilience during the coming months.
